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KDI 경제전망 KDI 경제전망｜수정 2023년 2월

수출 부진이 완화되면서 2023년 경제성장률은 기존과 동일한 1.8% 전망

2023.02.09
공지사항 「지식공유브리프」 23년 1호 발간 안내

국제개발협력/지식공유와 관련된 최근 이슈와 동향 정보를 제공하고, 국제개발협력센터의 업무 및 성과를 홍보하기 위해 "지식공유브리프" 를 발간함

2023.03.24
북한경제리뷰 한반도 주변 정세와 북핵 위협, 그리고 우리의 대응

한반도를 둘러싼 국제정세의 변화와 북한의 움직임에 대해 토론한다.

2023.02.28
KDI FOCUS 우리나라 중산층의 현주소와 정책과제

다음 세대가 중산층으로 진입할 수 있다는 기대는 낮아지고 있어, 동태적인 계층이동 가능성 제고에 정책의 초점을 맞추는 것이 바람직해 보인다.

2023.01.31
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요약 보기

KDI 정책연구 KDI Journal of Economic Policy, February 2023
Service Matters: Capital Misallocation and Sectoral Economic Growth / Woo Jin Choi and Woo Jin Roh
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Literature
　Ⅲ. Resource Misallocation
　Ⅳ. Misallocation and Sectoral Economic Growth
　Ⅴ. Conclusion

Effects of the Utilization of Non-Reciprocal Trade Preferences Offered by QUAD Countries on Economic Growth in Beneficiary Countries / Sena Kimm Gnangnon
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Theoretical Discussion
　Ⅲ. Empirical Strategy
　Ⅳ. Empirical Results
　Ⅴ. Further Analysis

Regulatory Sentiment and Economic Performance / Jungwook Kim and Jinkyeong Kim
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Literature Review
　Ⅲ. Data and Analysis
　Ⅳ. Results
　Ⅴ. Conclusion

요약 보기

KDI 정책연구 KDI Journal of Economic Policy, November 2022
Impacts of Reforestation on Stabilization of Riverine Water Levels in South Korea / Jaehyun Yoon, Saang Joon Baak, Min Young Seo, and Taejong Kim
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Areas and Rivers Explored
　Ⅲ. Data
　Ⅳ. Panel Data Analysis
　Ⅴ. Summary and Conclusion

Indirect Network Effect and Spillover Effect in Food Delivery Platforms / Gong Lee
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Literature Review
　III. Data and Model
　Ⅳ. Results
　Ⅴ. Conclusion

Estimating China’s Capital Flows-at-risk: The Case of Potential US Financial Sanctions / Daehee Jeong
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Related Literature
　Ⅲ. External Financial Transactions of the US and China
　Ⅳ. Methodology
　Ⅴ. Results
　Ⅵ. Conclusion

Sentiment Shock and Housing Prices: Evidence from Korea / Dong-Jin Pyo
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Related Literature
　Ⅲ. Model
　Ⅳ. Empirical Framework
　Ⅴ. Data and Summary Statistics
　Ⅵ. Results

요약 보기

KDI 정책연구 KDI Journal of Economic Policy, August 2022
The Effects of Lowering the Statutory Maximum Interest Rate on Non-bank Credit Loans / Meeroo Kim
I. Introduction
II. Literature Review
III. Data and Descriptive Statistics
IV. Empirical Strategy
V. Empirical Results
VI. Conclusion
REFERENCES

The Impact of Tax Treaties on Foreign Direct Investment: The Evidence Reconsidered / Siwook Lee and Daeyong Kim
I. Introduction
II. Literature Review
III. Empirical Strategy and Data Description
IV. Empirical Results
V. Conclusion
REFERENCES

Effects of Fiscal Instability on Financial Instability / Sunjoo Hwang
I. Introduction
II. Background
III. Empirical Analysis
IV. Concluding Remarks
REFERENCES

Job Creation during Korea’s Transition to a Knowledge Economy / Kyungsoo Choi
I. Introduction
II. Shifts in Job Creation Patterns
III. Local Labor Market Job Creation Model
IV. Empirical Estimates
V. Summary and Conclusion
REFERENCES

요약 보기

KDI 정책연구 KDI Journal of Economic Policy, May 2022
The Impact of COVID-19 on Jobs in Korea: Does Contact-intensiveness Matter? / SANGMIN AUM
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Model
　Ⅲ. Parameterization
　Ⅳ. COVID-19 Shocks and their Characteristics
　Ⅴ. Post COVID-19 Employment Structure
　Ⅵ. Conclusion
　REFERENCES

Does Learning Matter for Wages in Korea? International Comparison of Wage Returns to Adult Education and Training / YOONSOO PARK
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Data
　Ⅲ. Empirical Analysis
　Ⅳ. Conclusion
　REFERENCES

Factors for the Decline of the Self-employed in Korea: A Search and Matching Model Approach / JIWOON KIM
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Trends in the Number of Self-employed in Korea
　Ⅲ. Institutional Factors Affecting the Decline in the Self-employed during 2002-2018
　Ⅳ. Effects of Institutional Factors on the Decrease in Self-employed during 2002-2018
　Ⅴ. Concluding Remarks
　APPENDIX
　REFERENCES

요약 보기

KDI 정책연구 KDI Journal of Economic Policy, February 2022
Political Economy of Immigration and Fiscal Sustainability / JINWOOK HUR
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Model Economy
　Ⅲ. Political Decision
　Ⅳ. Political Equilibria
　Ⅴ. Dynamics and Social Welfare
　Ⅵ. Concluding Remarks
　REFERENCES

Franchise Market, Contract Conditions, and Welfare Implications: Evidence from Korea / JINKOOK LEE AND MYOUNGSHIK SEO
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Related Literature
　Ⅲ. Structure of the Korean Franchise Market
　Ⅳ. Conditions of the Franchise Agreement
　Ⅴ. Effects of Franchise Market Structures on Contract Conditions
　Ⅵ. Effects of Contract Conditions on Producer Welfare
　Ⅶ. Policy Recommendations
　REFERENCES

Investment and Business Cycles: Focusing on Firms’ Capital Adjustment Costs / CHANGWOO NAM
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Relationship between Corporate Investment and Business Cycles
　Ⅲ. Relationship between Corporate Investment and Business Cycles
　Ⅳ. Empirical Results: Investments and Business Cycles
　Ⅴ. Conclusions
　REFERENCES

요약 보기

KDI 정책연구 KDI Journal of Economic Policy, November 2021
Learning-to-export Effect as a Response to Export Opportunities: Micro-evidence from Korean Manufacturing / CHIN HEE HAHN AND YONG-SEOK CHOI
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Data and Definitions Regarding Product Variety
　Ⅲ Main Empirical Analyses
　Ⅳ The Role of Industrial Protection
　Ⅴ. Further Discussion
　Ⅵ. Concluding Remarks
　APPENDIX
　REFERENCES

Public Opinions on Inter-Korean Economic Cooperation: A Survey Analysis / SEUNG-HO JUNG AND YONG-SHIN CHO
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Data and Statistics
　Ⅲ. Empirical Analysis
　Ⅳ. Conclusion
　REFERENCES

Social Welfare Analysis of Policy-based Finance with Support for Corporate Loan Interest / CHANGWOO NAM
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Policy-based Finance in the Korean Financial Market
　Ⅲ. Theoretical Model
　Ⅳ. Policy Simulation Methodology
　Ⅴ. Social Welfare Analysis
　Ⅵ. Conclusions
　REFERENCES

요약 보기

KDI 정책연구 KDI Journal of Economic Policy, August 2021
Effects of Easing LTV·DTI Regulations on the Debt Structure and Credit Risk of Borrowers / Meeroo Kim and Yoon Hae Oh
　I. Introduction
　II. Review of LTV·DTI in the Literature
　III. Data and Empirical Strategy
　IV. Empirical Results
　V. Conclusion
　APPENDIX
　REFERENCES

Measuring the Degree of Integration into the Global Production Network by the Decomposition of Gross Output and Imports: Korea 1970-2018 / Dongseok Kim
　I. Introduction
　II. Motivation and Literature
　III. Methodology and Data
　IV. Results
　V. Conclusion
　REFERENCES

An Unsuccessful Reform on the Local Public Contracts Law in Korea / Sunjoo Hwang
　I. Introduction
　II. Institutional Background
　III. Theory Overview and Hypothesis Formulation
　IV. Empirical Analysis: Price Performance
　V. Empirical Analysis: Ex-Post Performance
　VI. Empirical Analysis: Simple Regression
　VII. Conclusion and Policy Implications
　REFERENCES

요약 보기

KDI 정책연구 KDI Journal of Economic Policy, May 2021
Social Distancing, Labor Supply, and Income Distribution / DUKSANG CHO
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Model
　Ⅲ. Constrained Labor Supply
　Ⅳ. Sectoral Asymmetry and Constrained Consumption Demand
　Ⅴ. Conclusion
　REFERENCES

Who’s Hit Hardest? The Persistence of the Employment Shock by the COVID-19 Crisis / JOSEPH HAN
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. The COVID-19 Crisis in Korea
　Ⅲ. Data and Methodology
　Ⅳ. Decomposition into Persistent and Transitory Components
　Ⅴ. Estimation Results
　Ⅵ. Concluding Remarks
　REFERENCES

Searching for the Cause of the Gender Gap in Employment Losses during the COVID-19 Crisis / JIYEON KIM
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Heterogeneous Impacts of COVID-19
　Ⅲ. Data and Methodology
　Ⅳ. Results
　Ⅴ. Concluding Remarks
　APPENDIX
　REFERENCES

Korea’s Inflation Expectations with regard to the Phillips Curve and Implications of the COVID-19 Crisis / KYU-CHUL JUNG
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. Discussion of Survey Results
　Ⅲ. The Model and Data
　Ⅳ. Results and Implications
　Ⅴ. Concluding Remarks
　REFERENCES

The Impact of COVID-19 Regional Cash Subsidies on the Sales of Local Businesses in South Korea / MEEROO KIM AND YOON HAE OH
　Ⅰ. Introduction
　Ⅱ. The COVID-19 Crisis in Korea
　Ⅲ. Data and Empirical Strategy
　Ⅳ. Empirical Results
　Ⅴ. Concluding Remarks
　APPENDIX
　REFERENCES

요약 보기

정책연구시리즈 지식자본과 자본-노동 간 소득분배
발간사
요 약

제1장 서 론

제2장 요소소득분배율과 대체탄력성에 관한 이론
　제1절 기본모형
　제2절 미시적 탄력성과 거시적 탄력성의 정의
　제3절 미시적 탄력성과 거시적 탄력성의 이론적 관계
　제4절 노동소득분배율과 자본재에 포함된 기술변화

제3장 대체탄력성의 추정
　제1절 자 료
　제2절 탄력성의 식별
　제3절 추정결과

제4장 정책적 시사점
　제1절 혁신성장정책에 대한 시사점
　제2절 투자지원정책에 대한 시사점

제5장 요약 및 결론

참고문헌
부 록
ABSTRACT

요약 보기

연구보고서 토지 구매의 거시경제적 함의: 법인의 토지 순구매에 대한 연구
발간사
요 약

제1장 서 론

제2장 기업 토지 구매 현상에 대한 통계적 이해
　제1절 국민계정에 나타난 기업의 토지 구매 현황
　제2절 주요국 기업의 토지 구매
　제3절 재무자료에 나타난 기업의 토지 구매
　제4절 토지 관련 세금에 나타난 기업의 토지자산
　제5절 소 결

제3장 기업의 토지 구매요인 분석
　제1절 경제구조 변화와 집적화(agglomeration) 현상
　제2절 기업의 토지 구매요인에 대한 검토
　제3절 가계의 토지 판매요인에 대한 검토
　제4절 소 결

제4장 결 론

참고문헌
부 록
ABSTRACT