KDI 한국개발연구원

요약 CHAPTER 1
Inflation’s Role in Optimal Monetary-Fiscal Policy(Eric M. Leeper and Xuan Zhou)
　1. Introduction
　2. Model
　3. Fully Optimal Policy
　4. Optimal Policy Analytics: Flexible Prices
　5. Optimal Policy Analytics: Sticky Prices
　6. Numerical Results
　7. Concluding Remarks
　References
　Appendix

CHAPTER 2
Transmission Mechanisms of the Public Debt(Tack Yun)
　1. Introduction
　2. The Public Debt and the Empirical IS Curve
　3. The Implication of the Empirical IS Curve for the Determinacy of the Equilibrium Dynamics
　4. Business-Cycle Implications of the Empirical IS Curve: Non-Keynesian Effects of Government’s Budget Surplus
　5. Market Friction of Government Securities and Sovereign-Risk Based Channel
　6. Time-Varying Risk Preferences and Convenience-Yield Based Channel
　7. Market-Segmentation Based Channel
　8. Expectations Based Channel
　9. Conclusion
　References
　Appendix105

CHAPTER 3
Growth Slowdowns Redux(Barry Eichengreen, Donghyun Park, and Kwanho Shin)
　1. Introduction
　2. Data and Methods
　3. Slowdowns
　4. Correlates
　5. Determinants
　6. Conclusion and Additional Thoughts
　References
　Appendix

CHAPTER 4
Pension Reform, Fiscal Impact, and Savings(Sang-Hyop Lee)
　1. Introduction
　2. The Model
　3. Impact on Labor Income and Fiscal Sustainability
　4. Simulation Results
　5. Conclusion
　References

CHAPTER 5
Demographic Changes, Economic Growth, and Fiscal Rules in a General Equilibrium Model of Overlapping Generations(Dongwon Lee and Weh-sol Moon)
　1. Introduction
　2. Model
　3. Quantitative Analysis
　4. Concluding Remarks
　References

CHAPTER 6
Trade Liberalization, Growth, and Bi-polarization in Korean Manufacturing: Evidence from Microdata(Chin Hee Hahn)
　1. Introduction
　2. Exporting, Productivity and Bi-polarization
　3. Trade Liberalization and Wage Skill Premium
　4. Concluding Remarks
　References

CHAPTER 7
Did China Tire Safeguard Save U.S. Workers?(Sunghoon Chung, Joonhyung Lee, and Thomas Osang)
　1. Introduction
　2. Overview of China Safeguard and the U.S. Tire Industry
　3. Data and Descriptive Statistics
　4. Empirical Method and Results
　5. Potential Mechanism
　6. Concluding Remarks
　References

CHAPTER 8
Korea’s Income Inequality: The Trend and Major Issues(Kyungsoo Choi)
　1. Summary and Major Findings
　2. Income Inequality Trend
　3. Contribution to Inequality by Income Sources
　4. Functional Distribution of Income
　References

CHAPTER 9
Development Effectiveness of the Paris Declaration: An Empirical Evaluation(Kye Woo Lee)
　1. Introduction
　2. Literature Review
　3. Empirical Evaluation Method and Data
　4. Empirical Test Findings
　5. Conclusion and Recommendations
　References
　Appendix

CHAPTER 10
Quantifying the Speculative Component in the Real Price of Oil: The Role of Global Oil Inventories(Lutz Kilian and Thomas K. Lee)
　1. Introduction
　2. A Review of the Structural Oil Market Model
　3. Alternative Proxies for Global Crude Oil Inventories
　4. Estimation Results
　5. Conclusion
　References

CHAPTER 11
The Welfare Cost of Structural Uncertainty(Young Il Kim )
　1. Introduction
　2. Analytical framework for macroeconomic welfare analysis
　3. Welfare analysis under the CRRA preference
　4. Welfare analysis under the EZW preference
　5. Conclusion
　References
　Appendix

CHAPTER 12
Evaluation of Survey of Professional Forecasters in Greenbook Forecast Error Loss(Tae-Hwy Lee and Yiyao Wang)
　1. Introduction
　2. Data
　3. EKT Method
　4. Asymmetry in Greenbook’s Loss Function
　5. Evaluating SPF in Greenbook Forecast Error Loss
　6. Conclusions
　References
　Appendix

CHAPTER 13
Market Structure and Cost Pass-through in Retail(Gee Hee Hong and Nicholas Li)
　1. Introduction
　2. Model
　3. Data Description
　4. Market Share, Vertical Structure and Pass-through
　5. Macroeconomic implications
　6. Conclusion
　References
　Appendix

CHAPTER 14
The Dynamic Relations between Market Returns and Two Types of Risk with Business Cycles(Xiaoquan Jiang and Bong Soo Lee)
　1. Introduction
　2. Empirical Method
　3. Data Construction and Description
　4. Empirical Dynamic Relations
　5. Concluding Remarks
　References