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The Anatomy of Index Rebalancings : Evidence from Transaction Data

World Bank 2021.09.14
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This paper exploits a novel dataset covering the universe of transactions in the Colombian Stock Exchange to analyze episodes of additions to and deletions from MSCI equity indexes. The analysis finds that additions and deletions have large price effects: the median cumulative abnormal return in absolute value is 5.5 percent. The paper shows that these price effects are due to large demand shocks by different classes of international investors―not only passive funds and ETFs, but also active mutual funds, pension funds and government funds―which are not absorbed by arbitrageurs. Consistent with recent asset pricing models with limits to arbitrage, stock demand curves are estimated to be very inelastic: the demand elasticity for the median stock in the sample is ?0.34, implying that a 1 percent increase in the demand for the stock increases its price by 2.9 percent.

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